Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scunthorpe vs Southend

England England

National League 2025/2026 Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Roberts C.
Assist: Whitehall D.
32'
Horton B.
36'
Taylor H.

AI Match Summary

Scunthorpe in this National League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Scunthorpe
6%
Draws
4%
Southend
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Scunthorpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Southend at 2 per game, Scunthorpe at 1.63.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Scunthorpe taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Scunthorpe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 15%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Southend
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Southend
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Southend
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Southend vs Scunthorpe
0:2
Apr 22, 2023 National League
Scunthorpe vs Southend
1:3
Oct 22, 2022 National League
Southend vs Scunthorpe
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scunthorpe Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Southend Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 84 / 100
Southend 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Southend

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Southend has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Scunthorpe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Southend
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6
Scunthorpe
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2
Scunthorpe
15 Jul
Skegness Town
0 : 1
Scunthorpe
07 Jul
Brigg Town
1 : 7
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Southend

(Away)
25 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Leyton Orient
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3
Northampton
18 Jul
Southend
1 : 1
West Ham
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
17 May
Southend
1 : 0
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rochdale-
TBD-
Scunthorpe1
Southend0
Carlisle-
TBD-
Boreham Wood1
Forest Green0
Semi-finals
Rochdale2
Scunthorpe1
Carlisle1
Boreham Wood2
Final
Rochdale3
Boreham Wood2