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SD Deusto vs Anaitasuna FT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Andiko G.
44' Event
Abad M.
48'
Ferro D.

AI Match Summary

SD Deusto in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Deusto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
SD Deusto
15%
Draws
59%
Anaitasuna FT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anaitasuna FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Deusto have won more games recently than Anaitasuna FT.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Anaitasuna FT taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 10%
Anaitasuna FT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Deusto Anaitasuna FT
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs SD Deusto
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Anaitasuna FT
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Anaitasuna FT
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs SD Deusto
0:0
Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs SD Deusto
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Deusto Compare

Top Goalscorer Andiko G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Anaitasuna FT Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastrian M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Deusto 22 / 100
Anaitasuna FT 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Deusto Anaitasuna FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anaitasuna FT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Deusto scored in 65% of their last 40 outings.

Defensive concern: Anaitasuna FT conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

SD Deusto has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Deusto VS Anaitasuna FT
0.38 Goals Scored 5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Deusto

(Home)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
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Anaitasuna FT

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Tedeon
2 : 5
Anaitasuna FT
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0
CD Tedeon
11 May
Basconia
3 : 2
Anaitasuna FT
05 May
Anaitasuna FT
2 : 1
Anorga
01 May
Alaves C
3 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)