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SD Deusto vs Tolosa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between SD Deusto and Tolosa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Deusto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SD Deusto
15%
Draws
0%
Tolosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Deusto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Deusto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SD Deusto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 68%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Deusto Tolosa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Tolosa
3:1
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs SD Deusto
0:3
Apr 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Tolosa
4:1
Dec 30, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs SD Deusto
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs SD Deusto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Deusto 95 / 100
Tolosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Deusto Tolosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Deusto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Tolosa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SD Deusto scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Deusto VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Deusto

(Home)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
Page 1 of 7

Tolosa

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)