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SD Ejea vs Alfaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
SD Ejea Logo

SD Ejea

2 - 2
FT
Alfaro Logo

Alfaro

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Garrido I.
55' Event
Turmo A.
66' Event
Agustin P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between SD Ejea and Alfaro finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SD Ejea
15%
Draws
39%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ejea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Ejea have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Alfaro are scoring more at 1.07.
  • Model gives SD Ejea a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ejea Alfaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Alfaro
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs SD Ejea
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs SD Ejea
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Alfaro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Ejea Compare

Top Goalscorer Turmo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agustin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrido I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osua Cabida I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ejea 59 / 100
Alfaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ejea Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ejea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ejea's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alfaro has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

SD Ejea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Ejea VS Alfaro
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ejea

(Home)
04 Oct
Andorra CF
1 : 3
SD Ejea
27 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Sietamo
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
13 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Belchite 97
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

Alfaro

(Away)
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)