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SD Ejea vs UE Tona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025
SD Ejea Logo

SD Ejea

Wed, Sep 10, 2025
2 - 0
05:30 PM
UE Tona Logo

UE Tona

Our Tip

Match Events

99' Event
Alvarez D.
101' Event
Alvarez D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with SD Ejea advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
SD Ejea
15%
Draws
17%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ejea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • UE Tona's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what SD Ejea have produced (1.03).
  • Model gives SD Ejea a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor SD Ejea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 68%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ejea UE Tona
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
SD Ejea vs UE Tona
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Ejea Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UE Tona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ejea 95 / 100
UE Tona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ejea UE Tona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ejea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ejea scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

UE Tona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SD Ejea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Ejea VS UE Tona
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ejea

(Home)
04 Oct
Andorra CF
1 : 3
SD Ejea
27 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Sietamo
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
13 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Belchite 97
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

UE Tona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
CD Laguna 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0