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SD Erandio vs Balmaseda

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 game between SD Erandio and Balmaseda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Erandio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
SD Erandio
35%
Draws
45%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Balmaseda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 20%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Erandio Balmaseda
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 14
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.86 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Balmaseda
1:0
Oct 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SD Erandio
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 32 / 100
Balmaseda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Erandio Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balmaseda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: SD Erandio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

SD Erandio scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Erandio VS Balmaseda
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Erandio

(Home)
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
16 May
Amurrio Club
2 : 2
SD Erandio
10 May
SD Erandio
2 : 4
Arenas Getxo
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Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 20 15 3 68:27 75
2 Gernika Club 38 21 12 5 54:21 75
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 11 7 62:31 71
4 SCD Durango 38 20 7 11 43:30 67
5 Beasain 38 18 13 7 52:41 67
6 Zalla UC 38 18 12 8 50:36 66
7 Alaves B 38 16 10 12 52:41 58
8 Real Sociedad C 38 15 12 11 38:32 57
9 Balmaseda 38 16 7 15 43:37 55
10 Santurtzi 38 14 9 15 48:49 51
11 Zamudio 38 13 11 14 53:49 50
12 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 14 7 17 44:48 49
13 Santutxu FC 38 12 10 16 31:43 46
14 Bermeo 38 10 15 13 35:49 45
15 Lagun Onak 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
16 Basconia 38 10 12 16 44:57 42
17 Pasaia 38 10 8 20 35:49 38
18 SD Erandio 38 9 5 24 33:62 32
19 Oiartzun 38 5 11 22 24:55 26
20 Amurrio Club 38 5 9 24 25:72 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)