Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015

SD Erandio

0 - 1

Gernika Club

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 game between SD Erandio and Gernika Club finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gernika Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

SD Erandio

33%

Draws

40%

Gernika Club

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Gernika Club come out ahead of SD Erandio on wins alone.
Model gives Gernika Club a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

SD Erandio Clean Sheet 19%

Gernika Club Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Erandio	Gernika Club
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	5	11
Draws	4	9
Losses	21	11
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

SD Erandio vs Gernika Club

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Oct 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Gernika Club vs SD Erandio

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 28 / 100

Gernika Club 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Erandio Gernika Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Erandio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: SD Erandio scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Gernika Club conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gernika Club

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	38	20	15	3	68:27	75
2	Gernika Club	38	21	12	5	54:21	75
3	Arenas Getxo	38	20	11	7	62:31	71
4	SCD Durango	38	20	7	11	43:30	67
5	Beasain	38	18	13	7	52:41	67
6	Zalla UC	38	18	12	8	50:36	66
7	Alaves B	38	16	10	12	52:41	58
8	Real Sociedad C	38	15	12	11	38:32	57
9	Balmaseda	38	16	7	15	43:37	55
10	Santurtzi	38	14	9	15	48:49	51
11	Zamudio	38	13	11	14	53:49	50
12	Aurrera de Vitoria	38	14	7	17	44:48	49
13	Santutxu FC	38	12	10	16	31:43	46
14	Bermeo	38	10	15	13	35:49	45
15	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	38:43	43
16	Basconia	38	10	12	16	44:57	42
17	Pasaia	38	10	8	20	35:49	38
18	SD Erandio	38	9	5	24	33:62	32
19	Oiartzun	38	5	11	22	24:55	26
20	Amurrio Club	38	5	9	24	25:72	24