Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The First League 2025 game between SD Family and Ertis Pavlodar finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ertis Pavlodar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ertis Pavlodar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ertis Pavlodar here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Family | Ertis Pavlodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.77 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SD Family Compare
Ertis Pavlodar Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Attacking prowess: SD Family scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Ertis Pavlodar registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SD Family
(Home)Ertis Pavlodar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 74:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 71:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Altai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:23 | 55 |
| 4 | Shakhter Karagandy | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Zhetisay | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 58:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Akademiya Ontustik | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 44:44 | 39 |
| 8 | Taraz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | AKAS | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 42:39 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 36:60 | 28 |
| 11 | SD Family | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 33:75 | 23 |
| 12 | Khan Tengri | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34:65 | 16 |
| 14 | Turkistan | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16:80 | 9 |
