Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Family vs Khan Tengri

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Zhas Kyran Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Litosh A.
20' Event
Bekmyrza A.
22'
Zakharov R.

AI Match Summary

Khan Tengri in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SD Family
15%
Draws
85%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Family haven't matched Khan Tengri's recent run of results.
  • Khan Tengri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SD Family Clean Sheet 20%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Family Khan Tengri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs SD Family
1:1
Jun 19, 2025 First League
SD Family vs Khan Tengri
0:3
Aug 30, 2024 First League
Khan Tengri vs SD Family
6:0
Jun 28, 2024 First League
SD Family vs Khan Tengri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Family Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Litosh A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bekmyrza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Family 10 / 100
Khan Tengri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Family Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

SD Family found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Khan Tengri conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Khan Tengri lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Khan Tengri
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Family

(Home)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
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Khan Tengri

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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