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SD Ibiza vs Castellon B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Vargas F.
59' Event
Font N.
64' Event
Busi L.

AI Match Summary

SD Ibiza in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SD Ibiza
15%
Draws
46%
Castellon B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellon B have won more games recently than SD Ibiza.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 20%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ibiza Castellon B
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs Castellon B
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon B vs SD Ibiza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Busi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Font N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ibiza 32 / 100
Castellon B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ibiza Castellon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castellon B conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

SD Ibiza found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

SD Ibiza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Ibiza VS Castellon B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ibiza

(Home)
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0
SD Ibiza
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0
Sineu
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0
SD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Castellon B

(Away)
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Castellon B
1 : 2
CF Intercity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)