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SD Ibiza vs Ferriolense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
SD Ibiza Logo

SD Ibiza

1 - 0
FT
Ferriolense Logo

Ferriolense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Ibiza in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
SD Ibiza
15%
Draws
20%
Ferriolense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • SD Ibiza have won more games recently than Ferriolense.
  • Win probability leans SD Ibiza's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SD Ibiza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ibiza Ferriolense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Ferriolense
1:0
Nov 7, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs SD Ibiza
0:2
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Ferriolense
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs SD Ibiza
1:4
Jan 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs SD Ibiza
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ibiza 86 / 100
Ferriolense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ibiza Ferriolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Ibiza scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferriolense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

SD Ibiza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Ibiza VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ibiza

(Home)
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0
SD Ibiza
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1
UD Poblense
26 Apr
SD Ibiza
2 : 2
Andratx
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Ferriolense

(Away)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 20 13 5 2 38:11 44
2 Andratx 20 14 2 4 35:17 44
3 Constancia 20 10 5 5 24:14 35
4 Manacor 20 9 7 4 26:20 34
5 Portmany 20 9 3 8 29:26 30
6 Collerense 20 8 5 7 28:26 29
7 Soller 20 6 5 9 21:36 23
8 Cardassar 20 5 7 8 20:28 22
9 Felanitx 20 5 4 11 29:32 19
10 Ferriolense 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Genova 20 2 5 13 19:41 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Platges de Calvia 20 13 6 1 31:13 45
2 PE Sant Jordi 20 12 5 3 33:17 41
3 Formentera 20 12 3 5 36:20 39
4 Mallorca B 20 11 5 4 34:10 38
5 Santanyi 20 11 2 7 23:12 35
6 El Espinar Sant Rafel 20 5 7 8 25:24 22
7 Llosetense 20 6 4 10 17:28 22
8 Alcudia 20 5 6 9 17:32 21
9 Santa Catalina Atletico 20 4 5 11 12:30 17
10 Binissalem 20 2 9 9 17:24 15
11 Esporles 20 1 4 15 15:50 7
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)