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SD Ibiza vs Formentera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Vargas F.
90' Event
El Ouarit S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between SD Ibiza and Formentera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SD Ibiza
30%
Draws
27%
Formentera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Formentera come out ahead of SD Ibiza on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on SD Ibiza taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
Formentera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ibiza Formentera
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.32 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Formentera
2:0
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Formentera vs SD Ibiza
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Formentera vs SD Ibiza
1:3
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Formentera vs SD Ibiza
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs Formentera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Ouarit S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Formentera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ibiza 59 / 100
Formentera 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ibiza Formentera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ibiza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SD Ibiza found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Formentera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Ibiza VS Formentera
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ibiza

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0
Formentera
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0
SD Ibiza
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0
Sineu
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 6

Formentera

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0
Formentera
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)