Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Ibiza vs UD Poblense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nieto D.
14' Event
Cabezas J.
44' Event
Gilbert C.

AI Match Summary

SD Ibiza in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
SD Ibiza
15%
Draws
20%
UD Poblense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • UD Poblense have won more games recently than SD Ibiza.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on SD Ibiza taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ibiza UD Poblense
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.15 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs UD Poblense
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs SD Ibiza
0:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs UD Poblense
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs SD Ibiza
1:2
Sep 27, 2020 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs SD Ibiza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabezas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gilbert C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ibiza 86 / 100
UD Poblense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ibiza UD Poblense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ibiza's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SD Ibiza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

UD Poblense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Ibiza VS UD Poblense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ibiza

(Home)
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0
SD Ibiza
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0
Sineu
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0
SD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

UD Poblense

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)