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SD Logrones vs Castellon B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Las Gaunas, Logroño
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Gil S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

SD Logrones in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SD Logrones
30%
Draws
42%
Castellon B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Castellon B have won more games recently than SD Logrones.
  • Castellon B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Castellon B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SD Logrones, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 20%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Logrones Castellon B
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.61 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Castellon B
1:0
May 10, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Castellon B vs SD Logrones
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Logrones 28 / 100
Castellon B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Logrones Castellon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castellon B conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SD Logrones stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

SD Logrones scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Logrones VS Castellon B
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Logrones

(Home)
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
SD Logrones
1 : 2
Espanyol B
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
01 Aug
SD Logrones
0 : 0
Osasuna B
17 May
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Castellon B
Page 1 of 6

Castellon B

(Away)
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Castellon B
1 : 2
CF Intercity
29 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Castellon B
21 Aug
Girona B
4 : 2
Castellon B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Real Madrid C 3
CD Estepona 5
Castellon B 2
SD Logrones 4