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SD Negreira vs Barco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between SD Negreira and Barco finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Negreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SD Negreira
15%
Draws
53%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Barco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barco are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 15%
Barco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Negreira Barco
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 9 21
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs SD Negreira
5:2
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Barco
0:1
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Barco
3:1
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs SD Negreira
2:1
May 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Barco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Negreira 27 / 100
Barco 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Negreira Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

SD Negreira found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Barco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 39 matches.

SD Negreira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barco
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Negreira

(Home)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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Barco

(Away)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
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