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SD Negreira vs Celtiga

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Negreira in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Negreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SD Negreira
15%
Draws
34%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • SD Negreira haven't matched Celtiga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SD Negreira a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 19%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Negreira Celtiga
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Celtiga
2:0
Aug 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs SD Negreira
2:1
Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Celtiga
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs SD Negreira
1:3
Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs SD Negreira
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Negreira 36 / 100
Celtiga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Negreira Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtiga let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

SD Negreira's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Celtiga lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Celtiga
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Negreira

(Home)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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Celtiga

(Away)
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
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