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SD Negreira vs Cerceda

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between SD Negreira and Cerceda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SD Negreira
28%
Draws
22%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • SD Negreira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SD Negreira's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Negreira Cerceda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Cerceda
1:1
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs SD Negreira
0:0
Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs SD Negreira
2:0
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Cerceda
0:2
Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs SD Negreira
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Negreira 49 / 100
Cerceda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Negreira Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

SD Negreira scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cerceda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Negreira VS Cerceda
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Negreira

(Home)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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