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Stadium Background

SD Noja vs CD Laredo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gning E. H.
47' Event
Cantero M.
77' Event
Gning E. H.

AI Match Summary

CD Laredo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Laredo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
SD Noja
20%
Draws
60%
CD Laredo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Laredo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • SD Noja haven't matched CD Laredo's recent run of results.
  • CD Laredo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
CD Laredo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja CD Laredo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Laredo
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs SD Noja
2:0
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs SD Noja
1:0
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Laredo
3:0
Feb 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Laredo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Noja Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CD Laredo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gning E. H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 10 / 100
CD Laredo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja CD Laredo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Laredo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Laredo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CD Laredo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SD Noja scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS CD Laredo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Noja

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

CD Laredo

(Away)
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0
Arenas Getxo
18 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)