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SD Noja vs Ribadesella CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fernandez A.
41' Event
Miguel J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
SD Noja
35%
Draws
52%
Ribadesella CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ribadesella CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Noja haven't matched Ribadesella CF's recent run of results.
  • Ribadesella CF are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Ribadesella CF arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 12%
Ribadesella CF Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja Ribadesella CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Copa del Rey
SD Noja vs Ribadesella CF
1:1
Sep 26, 2026 Copa del Rey
Ribadesella CF vs SD Noja
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Noja Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ribadesella CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 14 / 100
Ribadesella CF 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja Ribadesella CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribadesella CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribadesella CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

SD Noja found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

SD Noja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS Ribadesella CF
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Noja

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1
Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 6

Ribadesella CF

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1
Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
15 May
Ribadesella CF
1 : 3
Nalon CF
08 May
Praviano
0 : 1
Ribadesella CF
01 May
Ribadesella CF
2 : 2
Real Oviedo B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
TBD -
TBD -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
TBD -
TBD -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
TBD -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
TBD -
Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 5
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
TBD -
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Espanyol -
Varea -
TBD -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
TBD -
TBD -
Girona -
Pamplona -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sabadell -
Pena -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
TBD -
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Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
TBD -
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CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
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Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
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UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
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Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
TBD -
Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
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Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
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Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
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Levante -
Manacor -
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Villarreal -
Castellonense -
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Almeria -
Alcoyano -
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Mallorca -
Conquense -
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Castellon -
UD Poblense -
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AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
TBD -
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Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
TBD -
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Granada CF -
Baleares -
TBD -
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Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
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FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
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Jaen -
Antequera -
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Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
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Getafe -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
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Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
TBD -
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Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
TBD -
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Betis -
Trival Valderas -
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Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
TBD -
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Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
TBD -
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Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
TBD -
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Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
TBD -
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CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
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Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF -
Racing Santander -
Auriense -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
Espanyol -
Varea -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
Girona -
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar -
Elche -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana -
Getafe -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/32-finals
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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