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SD Noja vs Sestao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Preciado I.
55' Event
Laka A. B.
59' Event
Laka A. B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between SD Noja and Sestao finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
SD Noja
20%
Draws
69%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sestao come out ahead of SD Noja on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sestao's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 22%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja Sestao
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.67 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
SD Noja vs Sestao
1:3
Apr 13, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Noja vs Sestao
1:1
Nov 24, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs SD Noja
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Noja Compare

Top Goalscorer Preciado I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Laka A. B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garate O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 10 / 100
Sestao 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestao let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

SD Noja found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: SD Noja stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS Sestao
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Noja

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1
Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
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Sestao

(Away)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
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