Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Ordenes vs Cerceda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerceda in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SD Ordenes
20%
Draws
80%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerceda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cerceda have won more games recently than SD Ordenes.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cerceda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cerceda have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SD Ordenes Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ordenes Cerceda
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 1 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 0.7 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Ordenes vs Cerceda
1:2
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs SD Ordenes
2:1
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs SD Ordenes
3:0
Dec 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Ordenes vs Cerceda
0:3
May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs SD Ordenes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ordenes 10 / 100
Cerceda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ordenes Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerceda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda has conceded goals in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Cerceda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

SD Ordenes found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Cerceda
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ordenes

(Home)
14 May
Villalonga
6 : 0
SD Ordenes
07 May
SD Ordenes
2 : 6
Racing Club Villalbes
30 Apr
SD Ordenes
0 : 2
Arosa SC
23 Apr
Barco
2 : 1
SD Ordenes
13 Apr
SD Ordenes
0 : 3
Silva SD
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Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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