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SD Raiders vs Dunbar Rovers

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2023 Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney
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AI Match Summary

The NSW League One 2023 game between SD Raiders and Dunbar Rovers finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
SD Raiders
20%
Draws
15%
Dunbar Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Dunbar Rovers haven't matched SD Raiders's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on SD Raiders taking it.
  • Regular NSW League One 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SD Raiders have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 20%
Dunbar Rovers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Raiders Dunbar Rovers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs Dunbar Rovers
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 NSW League One
Dunbar Rovers vs SD Raiders
1:2
May 20, 2023 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs Dunbar Rovers
5:0
Feb 4, 2023 NSW League One
Dunbar Rovers vs SD Raiders
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 85 / 100
Dunbar Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Raiders Dunbar Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Raiders scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Dunbar Rovers let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SD Raiders remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Raiders

(Home)
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
08 Aug
SD Raiders
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
01 Aug
St George Saints
2 : 3
SD Raiders
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Dunbar Rovers

(Away)
24 Aug
Western City Rangers
6 : 1
Dunbar Rovers
16 Aug
Nepean
1 : 1
Dunbar Rovers
10 Aug
Dunbar Rovers
1 : 4
Northern Tigers
03 Aug
Dunbar Rovers
0 : 0
Canterbury Bankstown FC
30 Jul
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1 : 0
Dunbar Rovers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hills United 30 20 6 4 64:38 66
2 St George Saints 30 17 7 6 67:40 58
3 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 30 18 4 8 59:46 58
4 SD Raiders 30 17 4 9 64:43 55
5 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 17 4 9 52:36 55
6 Inter Lions 30 16 4 10 55:49 52
7 Northern Tigers 30 16 3 11 62:37 51
8 Blacktown Spartans 30 12 8 10 48:45 44
9 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
10 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 9 8 13 40:42 35
11 Rydalmere Lions 30 10 3 17 38:53 33
12 Dulwich Hill 30 9 5 16 43:56 32
13 Macarthur Rams 30 9 5 16 34:55 32
14 Dunbar Rovers 30 8 5 17 36:61 29
15 Mounties Wanderers FC 30 8 3 19 44:58 27
16 Central Coast United 30 4 5 21 37:81 17
Promotion - NPL NSW 2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2024 (Relegation)