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SD Raiders vs Macarthur FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney
SD Raiders Logo

SD Raiders

Tue, Aug 11, 2026
2 - 1
09:30 AM
Macarthur FC Logo

Macarthur FC

Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Pratezina M.
63'
Sub
Gibson B. In: Machar Reec J.
Out: Gibson B.
63'
Sub
Pain C. In: Helweh Z.
Out: Pain C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SD Raiders
15%
Draws
42%
Macarthur FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Raiders lately — more wins on the board than Macarthur FC.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SD Raiders taking it.
  • SD Raiders have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Macarthur FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 20%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Raiders Macarthur FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Australia Cup
SD Raiders vs Macarthur FC
2:1
Jul 29, 2025 Australia Cup
SD Raiders vs Macarthur FC
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Raiders Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Macarthur FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Helweh Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 42 / 100
Macarthur FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Raiders Macarthur FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

SD Raiders scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Macarthur FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS Macarthur FC
1 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Raiders

(Home)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

Macarthur FC

(Away)
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0
Macarthur FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3
Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -