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SD Raiders vs NWS Spirit

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve
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AI Match Summary

SD Raiders play NWS Spirit in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, SD Raiders averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. NWS Spirit averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, SD Raiders won 1, NWS Spirit won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for SD Raiders and 0.94 for NWS Spirit. This points to a SD Raiders double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
SD Raiders
17%
Draws
70%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: NWS Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • NWS Spirit has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SD Raiders.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for NWS Spirit.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL NSW provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 20%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Raiders NWS Spirit
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs NWS Spirit
0:0
Jun 11, 2022 NSW League One
NWS Spirit vs SD Raiders
1:0
Mar 26, 2022 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs NWS Spirit
0:1
Jul 24, 2021 NSW League One
NWS Spirit vs SD Raiders
0:0
May 8, 2021 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs NWS Spirit
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 16 / 100
NWS Spirit 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Raiders NWS Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Raiders scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

NWS Spirit let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

SD Raiders went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

NWS Spirit lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS NWS Spirit
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918