Sport Picks
SD Raiders vs NWS Spirit
Australia
NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NWS Spirit
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- SD Raiders have won more games recently than NWS Spirit.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on NWS Spirit taking it.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 14%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Raiders | NWS Spirit |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs SD Raiders
1:0
May 9, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs NWS Spirit
0:0
Jun 11, 2022 NSW League One
NWS Spirit vs SD Raiders
1:0
Mar 26, 2022 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs NWS Spirit
0:1
Jul 24, 2021 NSW League One
NWS Spirit vs SD Raiders
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Raiders 27 / 100
NWS Spirit 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Raiders NWS Spirit
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NWS Spirit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Raiders's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
NWS Spirit let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.
SD Raiders has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SD Raiders VS NWS Spirit
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
SD Raiders
(Home) 30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1 Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
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18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1 Sydney FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
08 Aug
SD Raiders
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
25 Jul
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Marconi Stallions
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
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NWS Spirit
(Away) 06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
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06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
02 Aug
Sydney Utd
2 : 0 NWS Spirit
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
