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SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Chianese N.
74'
Abdul-Rahman A.
86' Event
Malbasa J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between SD Raiders and Western Sydney Wanderers U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SD Raiders
15%
Draws
42%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Raiders come out ahead of Western Sydney Wanderers U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 16%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Raiders Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3:0
Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs SD Raiders
1:2
Jul 23, 2022 NSW League One
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs SD Raiders
4:3
May 7, 2022 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0:3
Jul 10, 2021 NSW League One
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs SD Raiders
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Malbasa J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chianese N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 30 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Raiders Western Sydney Wanderers U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

SD Raiders scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Raiders

(Home)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7

Western Sydney Wanderers U21

(Away)
30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2
St George Saints
08 Aug
SD Raiders
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)