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SD Sparta vs Araguaia (TO) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Sat, Nov 23, 2024
1 - 1
06:30 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SD Sparta
30%
Draws
42%
Araguaia (TO)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araguaia (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SD Sparta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • SD Sparta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Araguaia (TO)
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Tocantinense 2
SD Sparta vs Araguaia (TO)
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs SD Sparta
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 32 / 100
Araguaia (TO) 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Araguaia (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Sparta scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Araguaia (TO)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Araguaia (TO)
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

Araguaia (TO)

(Away)
03 Oct
Interporto
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
12 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SD Sparta 2
Araguaia (TO) 1
Bela Vista-TO 4
Sao Jose (TO) 2
Batalhao 5
Araguacema 4
Interporto 2
Guarai SC 4
Semi-finals
SD Sparta 1
Bela Vista-TO 2
Batalhao 5
Guarai SC 1
Final
Bela Vista-TO 5
Batalhao 2