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SD Sparta vs Arsenal (TO) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

1 - 0
FT
Arsenal (TO) Logo

Arsenal (TO)

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
SD Sparta
30%
Draws
0%
Arsenal (TO)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Sparta lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal (TO).
  • Win probability leans SD Sparta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SD Sparta here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Arsenal (TO)
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Tocantinense 2
SD Sparta vs Arsenal (TO)
1:0
May 8, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Arsenal (TO)
1:1
Apr 21, 2019 Tocantinense
Arsenal (TO) vs SD Sparta
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 85 / 100
Arsenal (TO) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Arsenal (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Arsenal (TO)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 12 matches.

Difficult form: Arsenal (TO) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Arsenal (TO)
1.25 Goals Scored 0.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
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Arsenal (TO)

(Away)
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
SD Sparta
1 : 0
Arsenal (TO)
19 Oct
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Arsenal (TO)
12 Oct
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
12 May
Arsenal (TO)
1 : 2
Araguaina
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Interporto 6 3 3 0 16:5 12
3 Araguaia (TO) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Sao Jose (TO) 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
5 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
6 Taquarussu 6 1 0 5 4:21 3
7 Uniao de Palmas 6 0 0 6 4:18 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bela Vista-TO 5 4 1 0 17:1 13
2 SD Sparta 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Guarai SC 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Araguacema 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
6 Colinas 4 0 0 4 1:26 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)