Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019

SD Sparta

1 - 1

Arsenal (TO)

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 game between SD Sparta and Arsenal (TO) finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

SD Sparta

Draws

Arsenal (TO)

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

SD Sparta carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans SD Sparta's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
SD Sparta have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%

Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Sparta	Arsenal (TO)
Matches Played	32	12
Wins	13	1
Draws	7	3
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.25	0.2
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Tocantinense 2

SD Sparta vs Arsenal (TO)

1:0

May 8, 2019 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Arsenal (TO)

1:1

Apr 21, 2019 Tocantinense

Arsenal (TO) vs SD Sparta

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 85 / 100

Arsenal (TO) 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Sparta Arsenal (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Arsenal (TO) has conceded goals in 100% of their last 12 outings.

Difficult form: Arsenal (TO) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Arsenal (TO)

1.25 Goals Scored 0.2

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.8

63% Over 1.5 60%

38% Over 2.5 40%

13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)

04 Dec

Bela Vista-TO

1 : 1

SD Sparta

30 Nov

SD Sparta

0 : 1

Bela Vista-TO

23 Nov

SD Sparta

1 : 1

Araguaia (TO)

16 Nov

Araguaia (TO)

0 : 1

SD Sparta

09 Nov

Araguacema

1 : 1

SD Sparta

Page 1 of 7

Arsenal (TO)

(Away)

02 Nov

Arsenal (TO)

0 : 2

Araguacema

26 Oct

SD Sparta

1 : 0

Arsenal (TO)

19 Oct

Guarai SC

3 : 1

Arsenal (TO)

12 Oct

Arsenal (TO)

0 : 3

Bela Vista-TO

12 May

Arsenal (TO)

1 : 2

Araguaina

Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmas	6	4	0	2	10:7	12
2	Forca Jovem Aquidaba	6	2	2	2	9:8	8
3	Interporto	6	2	1	3	8:8	7
4	Alvorada	6	2	1	3	7:11	7

Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tocantinopolis	8	4	2	2	16:10	14
2	SD Sparta	8	4	2	2	11:9	14
3	Cerrado	8	3	3	2	9:8	12
4	Araguaina	8	1	4	3	6:9	7
5	Arsenal (TO)	8	1	3	4	14:20	6

Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)