Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Sparta vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forca Jovem Aquidaba in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SD Sparta
22%
Draws
18%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Sparta have won more games recently than Forca Jovem Aquidaba.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on SD Sparta taking it.
  • SD Sparta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Forca Jovem Aquidaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:2
May 22, 2019 Tocantinense
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs SD Sparta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 58 / 100
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Forca Jovem Aquidaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Sparta scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Forca Jovem Aquidaba let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

SD Sparta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
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Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba1
Interporto3
Palmas4
Final
Tocantinopolis1
Palmas4