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SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

0 - 2
FT
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SD Sparta
30%
Draws
42%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tocantinopolis lately — more wins on the board than SD Sparta.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tocantinopolis have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 33 49
Wins 14 27
Draws 7 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.36 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta
2:1
May 23, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis
0:2
Apr 10, 2018 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 36 / 100
Tocantinopolis 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Sparta scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Tocantinopolis has conceded goals in 61% of their last 49 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SD Sparta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 7

Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 12 5 7 0 17:7 22
2 Tocantinopolis 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
3 Palmas 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
4 Gurupi 12 5 4 3 23:10 19
5 SD Sparta 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
6 Araguaina 12 3 6 3 13:13 15
7 Paraiso EC 12 0 0 12 0:36 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)