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SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 game between SD Sparta and Tocantinopolis finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SD Sparta
44%
Draws
20%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Sparta haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tocantinopolis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta
2:1
May 23, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis
0:2
Apr 10, 2018 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 36 / 100
Tocantinopolis 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Tocantinopolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tocantinopolis has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SD Sparta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto63217:311
2Gurupi63127:710
3Paraiso EC62315:49
4Capital FC60247:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Sparta642013:414
2Tocantinopolis632110:711
3Tocantins62137:87
4Colinas60154:151