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SE AEM W vs Alaves W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
SE AEM W Logo

SE AEM W

1 - 3
FT
Alaves W Logo

Alaves W

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Parera L.
45' Event
Sobron C.
50' Event
Juan I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between SE AEM W and Alaves W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SE AEM W
15%
Draws
21%
Alaves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SE AEM W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SE AEM W haven't matched Alaves W's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on SE AEM W taking it.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
SE AEM W Clean Sheet 68%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SE AEM W Alaves W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs Alaves W
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs SE AEM W
3:1
Apr 20, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs Alaves W
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs SE AEM W
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs SE AEM W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SE AEM W Compare

Top Goalscorer Penalver S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Alaves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Parera L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sobron C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SE AEM W 95 / 100
Alaves W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SE AEM W Alaves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SE AEM W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SE AEM W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

SE AEM W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alaves W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SE AEM W VS Alaves W
1.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SE AEM W

(Home)
16 Aug
CE Europa W
1 : 2
SE AEM W
02 May
Valencia W
4 : 2
SE AEM W
25 Apr
SE AEM W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
05 Apr
Tenerife B W
2 : 1
SE AEM W
29 Mar
SE AEM W
3 : 0
Albacete W
Page 1 of 6

Alaves W

(Away)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 26 18 4 4 67:26 58
2 Alaves W 26 17 5 4 44:15 56
3 Valencia W 26 12 10 4 35:18 46
4 Real Madrid B W 26 12 5 9 35:27 41
5 Tenerife B W 26 11 6 9 34:36 39
6 Villarreal W 26 10 8 8 35:31 38
7 CA Osasuna W 26 9 6 11 30:26 33
8 Albacete W 26 8 9 9 25:33 33
9 Cacereno W 26 8 7 11 22:33 31
10 Atl. Madrid B W 26 8 7 11 26:32 31
11 SE AEM W 26 8 6 12 26:36 30
12 CE Europa W 26 6 5 15 29:47 23
13 Betis W 26 5 8 13 24:48 23
14 Real Oviedo W 26 4 6 16 18:42 18
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)