Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SE AEM W vs CA Osasuna W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Penalver S.

AI Match Summary

SE AEM W in this Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SE AEM W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SE AEM W
11%
Draws
9%
CA Osasuna W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SE AEM W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • CA Osasuna W have won more games recently than SE AEM W.
  • SE AEM W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SE AEM W Clean Sheet 68%
CA Osasuna W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SE AEM W CA Osasuna W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs CA Osasuna W
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs SE AEM W
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs SE AEM W
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs CA Osasuna W
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs SE AEM W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SE AEM W Compare

Top Goalscorer Penalver S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CA Osasuna W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SE AEM W 86 / 100
CA Osasuna W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SE AEM W CA Osasuna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SE AEM W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

CA Osasuna W let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: CA Osasuna W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SE AEM W VS CA Osasuna W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SE AEM W

(Home)
02 May
Valencia W
4 : 2
SE AEM W
25 Apr
SE AEM W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
05 Apr
Tenerife B W
2 : 1
SE AEM W
29 Mar
SE AEM W
3 : 0
Albacete W
22 Mar
Atl. Madrid B W
2 : 1
SE AEM W
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CA Osasuna W

(Away)
17 May
Villarreal W
3 : 1
CA Osasuna W
09 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2
Villarreal W
02 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 1
Alaves W
25 Apr
SE AEM W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
04 Apr
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2
Barcelona B W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona B W26184467:2658
2Alaves W26175444:1556
3Valencia W261210435:1846
4Real Madrid B W26125935:2741
5Tenerife B W26116934:3639
6Villarreal W26108835:3138
7CA Osasuna W26961130:2633
8Albacete W2689925:3333
9Cacereno W26871122:3331
10Atl. Madrid B W26871126:3231
11SE AEM W26861226:3630
12CE Europa W26651529:4723
13Betis W26581324:4823
14Real Oviedo W26461618:4218
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)