Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SE AEM W vs Real Oviedo W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Marguez Castells A.

AI Match Summary

SE AEM W in this Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SE AEM W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
SE AEM W
15%
Draws
26%
Real Oviedo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SE AEM W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • SE AEM W have won more games recently than Real Oviedo W.
  • SE AEM W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SE AEM W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SE AEM W Clean Sheet 68%
Real Oviedo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SE AEM W Real Oviedo W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs Real Oviedo W
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo W vs SE AEM W
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo W vs SE AEM W
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Primera Federacion Women
SE AEM W vs Real Oviedo W
3:1
Mar 20, 2022 Segunda Division Women
Real Oviedo W vs SE AEM W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SE AEM W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marguez Castells A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Oviedo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SE AEM W 77 / 100
Real Oviedo W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SE AEM W Real Oviedo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SE AEM W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SE AEM W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Real Oviedo W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

SE AEM W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SE AEM W VS Real Oviedo W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SE AEM W

(Home)
16 Aug
CE Europa W
1 : 2
SE AEM W
02 May
Valencia W
4 : 2
SE AEM W
25 Apr
SE AEM W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
05 Apr
Tenerife B W
2 : 1
SE AEM W
29 Mar
SE AEM W
3 : 0
Albacete W
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Real Oviedo W

(Away)
29 Aug
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 1
Real Oviedo W
02 May
Cacereno W
1 : 0
Real Oviedo W
25 Apr
Real Oviedo W
1 : 1
CE Europa W
04 Apr
Real Madrid B W
2 : 0
Real Oviedo W
29 Mar
Real Oviedo W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 26 18 4 4 67:26 58
2 Alaves W 26 17 5 4 44:15 56
3 Valencia W 26 12 10 4 35:18 46
4 Real Madrid B W 26 12 5 9 35:27 41
5 Tenerife B W 26 11 6 9 34:36 39
6 Villarreal W 26 10 8 8 35:31 38
7 CA Osasuna W 26 9 6 11 30:26 33
8 Albacete W 26 8 9 9 25:33 33
9 Cacereno W 26 8 7 11 22:33 31
10 Atl. Madrid B W 26 8 7 11 26:32 31
11 SE AEM W 26 8 6 12 26:36 30
12 CE Europa W 26 6 5 15 29:47 23
13 Betis W 26 5 8 13 24:48 23
14 Real Oviedo W 26 4 6 16 18:42 18
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)