Sport Picks
SE Juventude vs Castanhal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie D 2022 
Match Events
41'
41'
Guerra R.
41'
41'
Wanderson Gotinha
83'
83'
Cristeanderson A. B.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D 2022 game between SE Juventude and Castanhal finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SE Juventude.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castanhal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Castanhal carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans SE Juventude's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie D 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
SE Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SE Juventude | Castanhal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 11, 2022 Serie D
SE Juventude vs Castanhal
1:0
May 21, 2022 Serie D
Castanhal vs SE Juventude
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SE Juventude Compare
Top Goalscorer Cristeanderson A. B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Castanhal Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SE Juventude 59 / 100
Castanhal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SE Juventude Castanhal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SE Juventude Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Castanhal conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
SE Juventude has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Castanhal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
SE Juventude found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Castanhal
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
SE Juventude
(Home) 31 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 SE Juventude
23 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 0 Amazonas
17 Jul
Fluminense-PI
1 : 2 SE Juventude
09 Jul
SE Juventude
2 : 2 Tuna Luso
02 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 1 Moto Club
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 0 Amazonas
09 Jul
SE Juventude
2 : 2 Tuna Luso
02 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 1 Moto Club
11 Jun
SE Juventude
1 : 0 Castanhal
28 May
SE Juventude
0 : 0 Julho Esporte
Page 1 of 3
Castanhal
(Away) 11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
Page 1 of 7
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1 Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0 Castanhal
04 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 1 Castanhal
25 Jan
Cameta
0 : 0 Castanhal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazonas | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 37:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Rio Branco AC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Sao Raimundo AM | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Sao Raimundo RR | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Porto Velho | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Trem | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 29:27 | 16 |
| 7 | SC Humaita | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11:32 | 6 |
| 8 | Nautico FC | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:57 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moto Club | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 3 | Pacajus | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 4 | SE Juventude | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Fluminense-PI | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Castanhal | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Tuna Luso | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:25 | 13 |
| 8 | Julho Esporte | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13:19 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Retro | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27:6 | 33 |
| 2 | America RN | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Sousa | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:17 | 23 |
| 4 | Afogados da Ingazeira | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Icasa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo Crystal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 7 | Globo FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Crato | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:33 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 3 | Jacuipense | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Sergipe | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Juazeirense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Alagoinhas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 33 |
| 2 | Anapolis | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Operario VG | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Ceilandia | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Ipora | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 7 | Gremio Anapolis | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Acao | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pouso Alegre | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Bahia de Feira | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Real Noroeste | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Nova Venecia | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Internacional de Limeira | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 6 | Ferroviaria | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:14 | 16 |
| 7 | URT | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 8 | Caldense | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Bernardo | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13:3 | 27 |
| 2 | Parana | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 13:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Portuguesa RJ | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Cianorte | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9:23 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SER Caxias do Sul | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 2 | Aimore | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 27 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16:10 | 25 |
| 4 | Azuriz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Marcilio Dias | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 7 | Gremio Juventus | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Prospera Criciuma | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
