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Stadium Background

SE Juventude vs Tuna Luso

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rodrigues Barbosa Junior A.
38' Event
Rodrigues Barbosa Junior A.
77' Event
Balotelli K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2022 game between SE Juventude and Tuna Luso finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SE Juventude
28%
Draws
22%
Tuna Luso
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SE Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuna Luso come out ahead of SE Juventude on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on SE Juventude taking it.
  • Regular Serie D 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SE Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SE Juventude Tuna Luso
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2022 Serie D
SE Juventude vs Tuna Luso
2:2
Apr 24, 2022 Serie D
Tuna Luso vs SE Juventude
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SE Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues Barbosa Junior A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tuna Luso Compare

Top Goalscorer Balotelli K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SE Juventude 59 / 100
Tuna Luso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SE Juventude Tuna Luso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Tuna Luso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Recent resilience: SE Juventude stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SE Juventude scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tuna Luso
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amazonas1494137:1231
2Rio Branco AC1483324:1127
3Sao Raimundo AM1466219:1124
4Sao Raimundo RR1465321:1423
5Porto Velho1463528:2021
6Trem1444629:2716
7SC Humaita14131011:326
8Nautico FC14121115:575
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moto Club1491424:1428
2Tocantinopolis1464423:2122
3Pacajus1455415:1320
4SE Juventude1455414:1420
5Fluminense-PI1445523:1917
6Castanhal1445516:1517
7Tuna Luso1434712:2513
8Julho Esporte1427513:1913
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Retro14103127:633
2America RN1466220:724
3Sousa1472518:1723
4Afogados da Ingazeira1464423:1222
5Icasa1464416:1822
6Sao Paulo Crystal1434713:2613
7Globo FC1433814:1712
8Crato1412115:335
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA1474315:1225
2Lagarto1467123:1225
3Jacuipense1456319:1521
4Santa Cruz1454514:1519
5Sergipe1446414:1218
6Juazeirense144468:1316
7Clube Sociedade Esportiva1435619:2214
8Alagoinhas1424813:2410
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasiliense14103122:1033
2Anapolis1474317:1125
3Costa Rica1463514:1321
4Operario VG1463510:1221
5Ceilandia1462615:1220
6Ipora1436512:1215
7Gremio Anapolis1435612:1414
8Acao14121112:305
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pouso Alegre1475212:926
2Bahia de Feira1466217:824
3Real Noroeste1465319:1323
4Nova Venecia1457219:1322
5Internacional de Limeira1445516:1617
6Ferroviaria1444615:1416
7URT1444613:2616
8Caldense1412118:205
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Bernardo1476113:327
2Parana1465313:823
3Portuguesa RJ1456313:1021
4Osasco Sporting1455414:1520
5Nova Iguacu1455413:1420
6Santo Andre1443712:1315
7Cianorte1435614:1514
8Perolas Negras141589:238
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SER Caxias do Sul1483320:1227
2Aimore1483317:1427
3FC Cascavel1474316:1025
4Azuriz1473417:1224
5Sao Luiz1446418:1718
6Marcilio Dias1442814:2014
7Gremio Juventus1426611:1712
8Prospera Criciuma1413109:206