Sport Picks

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Sea Hawks vs Red Star

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Hasmeer M.

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sea Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sea Hawks
35%
Draws
32%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sea Hawks have won more games recently than Red Star.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sea Hawks have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 20%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks Red Star
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Red Star
1:0
Dec 28, 2021 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Red Star
2:1
Nov 25, 2018 Super League
Red Star vs Sea Hawks
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sea Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasmeer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Red Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 32 / 100
Red Star 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sea Hawks's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sea Hawks has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Red Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS Red Star
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sea Hawks

(Home)
15 Sept
Blue Eagles
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
07 Sept
New Young's SC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
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Red Star

(Away)
12 Sept
Red Star
2 : 2
Colombo
06 Sept
Ratnam SC
0 : 3
Red Star
30 Aug
Red Star
5 : 1
Defenders FC
24 Aug
Red Star
1 : 0
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
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