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Sea Hawks vs Renown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks host Renown in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sea Hawks have averaged 1.85 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Renown's 1.93 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Sea Hawks slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 25, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Sea Hawks. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sea Hawks
35%
Draws
20%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sea Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Renown's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Sea Hawks have produced (1.85).
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sea Hawks taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 15%
Renown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks Renown
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.85 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Renown
2:2
Apr 24, 2021 Super League
Renown vs Sea Hawks
0:2
Jan 30, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Renown
3:0
Oct 10, 2017 Super League
Renown vs Sea Hawks
3:1
Feb 18, 2017 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Renown
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 84 / 100
Renown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sea Hawks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sea Hawks scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sea Hawks stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Renown conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS Renown
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sea Hawks

(Home)
15 Sept
Blue Eagles
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
07 Sept
New Young's SC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
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Renown

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
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