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Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks in this Champions League 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sea Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sea Hawks
11%
Draws
80%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UP Country Lions lately — more wins on the board than Sea Hawks.
  • Win probability leans UP Country Lions's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sea Hawks have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 16%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks UP Country Lions
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 1
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2021 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Sea Hawks
3:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 11 / 100
UP Country Lions 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks UP Country Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sea Hawks's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

UP Country Lions has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Sea Hawks went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS UP Country Lions
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sea Hawks

(Home)
11 Jan
Colombo
2 : 3
Sea Hawks
07 Jan
Ratnam SC
0 : 1
Sea Hawks
28 Dec
Sea Hawks
2 : 1
Red Star
16 Dec
Blue Star
3 : 0
Sea Hawks
11 Dec
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Defenders FC
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UP Country Lions

(Away)
17 Jul
Blue Star
1 : 9
UP Country Lions
10 Jan
Red Star
0 : 3
UP Country Lions
07 Jan
Renown
1 : 0
UP Country Lions
29 Dec
UP Country Lions
2 : 3
Colombo
17 Dec
UP Country Lions
1 : 0
Blue Eagles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)