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Seattle Reign W vs Utah Royals W

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NWSL Women 2025 Lumen Field
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Match Events

13'
Lacasse C.
45' Event
McCammon A.
Assist: Dahlien M.
60' Event
Cronin P.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women 2025 game between Seattle Reign W and Utah Royals W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seattle Reign W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Seattle Reign W
30%
Draws
34%
Utah Royals W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seattle Reign W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Utah Royals W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Seattle Reign W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 15%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Reign W Utah Royals W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Utah Royals W
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Utah Royals W
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Seattle Reign W
1:4
Oct 13, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Seattle Reign W
3:0
Jul 20, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
Seattle Reign W vs Utah Royals W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seattle Reign W Compare

Top Goalscorer McCammon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cronin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Reign W 35 / 100
Utah Royals W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Reign W Utah Royals W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Seattle Reign W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Utah Royals W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Seattle Reign W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Reign W VS Utah Royals W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kansas City Current W26212349:1365
2Washington Spirit W26128642:3344
3Portland Thorns FC W26117836:2940
4Orlando Pride W26117833:2740
5Seattle Reign W26109732:2939
6San Diego Wave W26107941:3437
7Racing Louisville W26107935:3837
8Gotham FC W2699835:2536
9North Carolina Courage W2698937:3935
10Houston Dash W26861227:3930
11Angel City W26761331:4127
12Utah Royals W26671328:4225
13Bay FC W26481426:4120
14Chicago Stars W263111232:5420