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Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Badwal J. In: Elloumi R.
Out: Badwal J.
36'
Sub
Ferreira J. In: Gomez S.
Out: Ferreira J.
57'
Ragen J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Seattle Sounders and Vancouver Whitecaps finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vancouver Whitecaps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Seattle Sounders
30%
Draws
19%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Seattle Sounders haven't matched Vancouver Whitecaps's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Seattle Sounders taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 68%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Sounders Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:2
Mar 19, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:2
Jun 9, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seattle Sounders Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Elloumi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muller T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Sounders 77 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Sounders Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Seattle Sounders remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Seattle Sounders scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Sounders VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seattle Sounders

(Home)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)