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Sebat Spor Kulubu vs Turgutlu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sebat Spor Kulubu play Turgutlu in the 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025. Sebat Spor Kulubu are favorites here. Recently, Sebat Spor Kulubu averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Turgutlu averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Sebat Spor Kulubu won 2, Turgutlu won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 16, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Sebat Spor Kulubu and 0.81 for Turgutlu. This points to a Sebat Spor Kulubu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Sebat Spor Kulubu
20%
Draws
13%
Turgutlu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sebat Spor Kulubu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sebat Spor Kulubu picked up more points recently compared to Turgutlu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Sebat Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 26%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sebat Spor Kulubu Turgutlu
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 26 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 2.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Sebat Spor Kulubu vs Turgutlu
4:2
Nov 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs Sebat Spor Kulubu
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sebat Spor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulut S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Keskin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceylan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sebat Spor Kulubu 66 / 100
Turgutlu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sebat Spor Kulubu Turgutlu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sebat Spor Kulubu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sebat Spor Kulubu & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sebat Spor Kulubu attacking → ← attacking Turgutlu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sebat Spor Kulubu scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Turgutlu let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sebat Spor Kulubu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Turgutlu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

84 Points in last 5 19
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mardin 196930207364:2467
2Sebat Spor Kulubu30214573:2867
3Agri 197030177642:2758
4Zonguldak Komurspor30176741:2857
5K. Istklalspor30168655:2656
6Kirikkale FK30166844:3154
7Orduspor 196730165961:3353
8Bursa Nilufer301011938:2941
9Erciyes 3830971435:4834
101926 Polatli Belediye30781537:5829
11Izmir Coruhlu30771641:5828
12Nigde30691530:5327
13Edirnespor Genclik30571828:6222
14Tepecik30491724:5421
15Denizlispor305121327:5521
16Turgutlu30471934:6019