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Security Systems vs Orapa United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2024/2025 Lobatse Stadium, Lobatse
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Match Events

83'
Ratlhogo R.
90'
Macheng B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Security Systems
35%
Draws
39%
Orapa United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Orapa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Orapa United have won more games recently than Security Systems.
  • Win probability leans Security Systems's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 19%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Security Systems Orapa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
Security Systems vs Orapa United
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Orapa United vs Security Systems
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Premier League
Orapa United vs Security Systems
3:0
Dec 17, 2023 Premier League
Security Systems vs Orapa United
2:1
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Orapa United vs Security Systems
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Security Systems 42 / 100
Orapa United 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Security Systems Orapa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Security Systems's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Orapa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Security Systems has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orapa United
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Security Systems

(Home)
24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3
Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1
Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2
Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1
Security Systems
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Orapa United

(Away)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
12 Sept
Orapa United
0 : 1
Tafic FC
29 Aug
Orapa United
1 : 1
Enesia
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 20 6 4 56:23 66
2 Tafic FC 30 17 9 4 51:23 60
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 17 8 5 63:31 59
4 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 15 14 1 43:20 59
5 Centre Chiefs 30 15 11 4 46:20 56
6 Township Rollers 30 15 9 6 37:28 54
7 Morupule 30 12 6 12 41:36 42
8 Orapa United 30 9 13 8 36:31 40
9 VTM FC 30 8 11 11 36:33 35
10 Nico United 30 7 11 12 18:32 32
11 BDF XI 30 7 10 13 28:33 31
12 Matebele 30 8 6 16 30:45 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 8 5 17 25:48 29
14 Security Systems 30 6 8 16 30:45 26
15 Chadibe 30 2 10 18 19:62 16
16 Flamingo Santos 30 2 7 21 18:67 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)