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Stadium Background

Sedan vs Arras

France France

National 2 - Group D 2018/2019 Stade Louis Dugauguez, Sedan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sedan in this National 2 - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sedan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sedan
15%
Draws
34%
Arras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sedan lately — more wins on the board than Arras.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sedan Clean Sheet 19%
Arras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sedan Arras
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 National 2 - Group D
Sedan vs Arras
1:0
Nov 3, 2018 National 2 - Group D
Arras vs Sedan
1:0
Mar 3, 2018 National 1 - Group C
Arras vs Sedan
0:0
Sep 30, 2017 National 1 - Group C
Sedan vs Arras
1:2
Apr 4, 2015 National 1 - Group A
Sedan vs Arras
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sedan 32 / 100
Arras 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sedan Arras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Sedan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Arras's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sedan VS Arras
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sedan

(Home)
03 Feb
FC Rodange 91
2 : 0
Sedan
26 May
Sedan
0 : 3
Villefranche
19 May
Stade Briochin
2 : 1
Sedan
12 May
Sedan
3 : 2
Chateauroux
28 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Sedan
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Arras

(Away)
16 Nov
Arras
0 : 2
Valenciennes
14 Feb
Loon Plage
2 : 1
Arras
07 Feb
Arras
2 : 1
St Quentin
25 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 4
Arras
18 May
Arras
3 : 3
Haguenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Creteil 30 17 8 5 55:21 59
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 13 10 7 55:37 49
3 Sedan 30 12 11 7 39:29 47
4 Lille II 30 13 11 6 48:36 46
5 Sainte-Genevieve 30 13 6 11 38:39 45
6 IC Croix 30 13 4 13 38:44 43
7 Schiltigheim 30 11 9 10 40:38 42
8 Epinal 30 11 9 10 33:37 42
9 Reims II 30 11 8 11 34:36 41
10 Fleury-Merogis 30 9 12 9 48:50 39
11 Lens II 30 10 7 13 46:44 37
12 Belfort 30 8 11 11 24:31 35
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 9 8 13 33:44 34
14 Haguenau 30 7 10 13 35:42 31
15 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 7 10 13 33:43 31
16 Arras 30 3 12 15 35:63 21
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)