Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Segesta vs Osijek

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Kukoc T.
45' Event
Brlek P.
54' Event
Farkas N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Segesta
15%
Draws
39%
Osijek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Segesta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Segesta are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Segesta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Segesta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Segesta Clean Sheet 17%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Segesta Osijek
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.52 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Croatian Cup
Segesta vs Osijek
3:1
Apr 20, 1997 HNL
Osijek vs Segesta
1:1
Sep 29, 1996 HNL
Segesta vs Osijek
2:1
Oct 29, 1995 HNL
Segesta vs Osijek
0:4
Aug 13, 1995 HNL
Osijek vs Segesta
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukoc T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brlek P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Osijek Compare

Top Goalscorer Farkas N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Segesta 57 / 100
Osijek 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Segesta Osijek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Segesta scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Segesta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Osijek registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Segesta VS Osijek
3.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Segesta

(Home)
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

Osijek

(Away)
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
30 Aug
Osijek
3 : 0
Slaven Belupo
23 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Osijek
15 Aug
Osijek
1 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar -
Karlovac -
Vrbovec -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Vukovar 1991 -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -