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Sejong SA vs Jincheon

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sejong SA play Jincheon in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sejong SA averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Jincheon averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Sejong SA won 0, Jincheon won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sejong SA and 1.75 for Jincheon. This points to a Jincheon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sejong SA
18%
Draws
49%
Jincheon
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Jincheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sejong SA picked up more points recently compared to Jincheon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 12%
Jincheon Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sejong SA Jincheon
Matches Played 18 16
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.44 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 K4 League
Jincheon vs Sejong SA
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sejong SA 32 / 100
Jincheon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sejong SA Jincheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jincheon or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sejong SA attacking → ← attacking Jincheon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sejong SA scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

Jincheon let in goals in 50% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sejong SA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jincheon lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 31
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369