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Sejong SA vs Jinju Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

Jinju Citizen in this K4 League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jinju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sejong SA
20%
Draws
58%
Jinju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jinju Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Sejong SA.
  • Win probability leans Jinju Citizen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jinju Citizen have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 10%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sejong SA Jinju Citizen
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 K4 League
Sejong SA vs Jinju Citizen
0:4
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Jinju Citizen vs Sejong SA
2:1
May 3, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Sejong SA
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sejong SA 10 / 100
Jinju Citizen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sejong SA Jinju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Sejong SA's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jinju Citizen conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Sejong SA went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sejong SA VS Jinju Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sejong SA

(Home)
04 Oct
Pyeongtaek Citizen
7 : 1
Sejong SA
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Sejong SA
2 : 1
Seosan Pioneer
30 Aug
Sejong SA
0 : 5
Seoul Jungnang
23 Aug
Jecheon Citizen
5 : 4
Sejong SA
Page 1 of 5

Jinju Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
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