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Sejong SA vs Namyangju

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sejong SA play Namyangju in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sejong SA averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Namyangju averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Sejong SA won 1, Namyangju won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Sejong SA and 1.44 for Namyangju. This points to a Sejong SA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sejong SA
18%
Draws
34%
Namyangju
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sejong SA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Sejong SA picked up more points recently compared to Namyangju.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 16%
Namyangju Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sejong SA Namyangju
Matches Played 18 22
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.44 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K4 League
Sejong SA vs Namyangju
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sejong SA 46 / 100
Namyangju 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sejong SA Namyangju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sejong SA or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sejong SA attacking → ← attacking Namyangju

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sejong SA scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

Namyangju let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sejong SA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Namyangju lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 29
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369