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Selaya vs Buelna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Selaya in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Selaya
20%
Draws
28%
Buelna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Selaya have won more games recently than Buelna.
  • Model gives Selaya a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Selaya Clean Sheet 18%
Buelna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selaya Buelna
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Selaya
1:3
Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Buelna
1:1
Jan 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Buelna
2:1
Aug 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Selaya
0:0
Feb 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Selaya
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selaya 85 / 100
Buelna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selaya Buelna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buelna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Selaya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Buelna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Selaya VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Selaya

(Home)
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4
Selaya
03 May
Selaya
1 : 1
CD Laredo
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2
Selaya
18 Apr
Selaya
2 : 0
Torina
12 Apr
CD Barquereno
2 : 2
Selaya
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Buelna

(Away)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)