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Selfoss vs Arbaer

Iceland Iceland

Fotbolti.net Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zamorano G.
9'
Olfasson E.
25' Event
Vokes A.
Assist: Birgisson A.

AI Match Summary

Selfoss in this Fotbolti.net Cup 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Selfoss
6%
Draws
4%
Arbaer
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Selfoss have won more games recently than Arbaer.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Selfoss taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Arbaer
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.38 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Fotbolti.net Cup
Selfoss vs Arbaer
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vokes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Arbaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 83 / 100
Arbaer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Arbaer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Arbaer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Selfoss stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Arbaer
2.38 Goals Scored 2.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fjallabyggd1
Augnablik2
KFA6
Ymir0
Tindastoll2
KH Hlidarendi1
Kari1
Magni0
Selfoss3
KFG Gardabaer1
Haukar4
Volsungur1
Vaengirs4
KFK Kopavogur0
Arbaer3
Olafsvik2
Quarter-finals
Augnablik1
KFA3
Tindastoll2
Kari1
Selfoss3
Haukar2
Vaengirs1
Arbaer3
Semi-finals
KFA2
Tindastoll1
Selfoss4
Arbaer1
Final
KFA1
Selfoss3